1. Modeling and Simulation
Oracle''s Enterprise Performance Management System
Model Basics
Simulation Basics
Monte Carlo Simulations
Crystal Ball
Model Development Process
2. Getting Started with Crystal Ball
Setting Crystal Ball Start Preferences
Welcome Dialog Box
Basic Crystal Ball Terminology
Crystal Ball Ribbon
Additional Resources for Crystal Ball
3. Examining Probability Distributions
Probability Distributions
Basic Distribution Statistics
Viewing Distribution Types in the Distribution Gallery
Properties of Crystal Ball Distributions
Commonly Used Crystal Ball Distributions
4. Assumptions
Data-Based Assumptions through Distribution Fittings
Data-Based Assumptions with Custom Distributions
Expert-Based Assumptions
Referencing Cells for Parameter Values
Generated Names for Assumption Cells
Best Practices for Defining Assumptions
5. Forecasts, Running Simulations, and Analyzing Results
Forecasts
Running Simulations
Analyzing Forecast Charts
Viewing Other Charts with Forecast Data
Saving and Loading Forecast Results
Editing Crystal Ball Data
6. Correlating Assumptions
Importance of Correlating Assumptions
Rank Correlation Method
Crystal Ball Options for Correlating Assumptions
Defining Correlations by Modifying Assumption Definitions
Adjusting Correlation Coefficients During Simulations
Best Practices for Correlating Assumptions
7. Creating Reports
Crystal Ball Reports
Generating Reports
Extracting Data to Excel
8. Determining